Showing posts with label Bogus Polling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bogus Polling. Show all posts

Monday, April 25, 2011

Someone Else Has Picked up on Polling Fraud


Going into the final week of the campaign and on the eve of the Advance Polls, an "unholy alliance" between the media and "commercial interests" concocted an NDP surge, when in fact the polls used, have such a high margin of error that they fall into the fairy tale category.

We have to get the message out to everyone voting strategically, that these results appear to have been rigged. They only add confusion, and help Harper who stands a better chance campaigning against the NDP who have no track record on the economy.

As Cicblog says: Quebec Margin of Error, +/- 6.4% ??? That's One Big Error (They've since bumped it to 6.5)
"Allan Gregg, chairman of Harris-Decima, which provides political polling for the Canadian Press. He is also a regular member of The National's At Issue panel on CBC TV.

Gregg has been doing political polling since the 1970s . . .
'there's broad consensus among pollsters that proliferating political polls suffer from a combination of methodological problems, commercial pressures and an unhealthy relationship with the media.

'The dirty little secret of the polling business,' he went on, 'is that our ability to yield results accurately from samples that reflect the total population has probably never been worse in the 30 to 35 years that the discipline has been active in Canada.'"
(CBC, 25 Apr.'11)
This is a deliberate attempt at confusing strategic voters. It makes me so damn mad.

So when the headline reads 'slim majority' or 'statistical tie', what they really mean is 'have we fooled you yet'?

Sunday, April 24, 2011

How is Nick Nanos Getting away With This? It Should be Election Tampering


While seat projections reveal no real surge for the NDP, headlines surrounding the most recent Nanos Poll suggests that Tories lead by 13 points, Grits and NDP statistically tied Scares the crap out of you right? Vote-splitting destined to give Harper a possible majority.

But wait a minute. What's this on page two?



Margin of Error (19 times out of 20)

Atlantic ±10.3
Quebec ±6.5
Ontario ±5.7
Prairies ±6.9
British Columbia ±8.1

What the .... ?

So the numbers, given that they are plus or minus, could be off by anywhere from 11.4 to a whopping 20.6

This election is all about region, with so many grassroots movements, youth voting mobs and strategic voting.

So let's break down the regions that are important. Alberta will go Conservative no matter what. And despite suggestions to the contrary, I still think the Bloc will continue to dominate Quebec.

Ontario with a 5.7 plus or minus means that the Cons range from about 28 to 50. Liberals from about 20 to 42. And NDP about 14.5 to 36.

So what do these Numbers really mean?

ABSOLUTELY NOTHING!!!

This is by far the most fraudulent poll I've ever seen. How is Nanos getting away with this? This is election fraud because there is a definite move here to engineer our votes.

I read a piece from Simon Fraser University (can't find it now) but they also discuss the inaccuracies of polls, based on the questions asked. Nanos they say will only ask who the caller is voting for, without providing all political options. This means that many forget about the Green Party, only thinking in terms of the three major parties, Conservatives, Liberals and NDP.

Others provide options but for those undecided, they will try to pry an answer by giving a bit of policy and then base their results on where the caller's answers place them. Not their voting intention.

So again be wary of polls. They range from inaccurate, or in the case of Nanos, seemingly fraudulent. Go with your gut. Vote and vote wisely.